Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.000560 0.000639 0.000723 0.000818 0.000923 0.001035 0.001163
2025-11-16 0.000422 0.000528 0.000648 0.000794 0.000965 0.001159 0.001392
2025-11-23 0.000344 0.000459 0.000597 0.000771 0.000984 0.001233 0.001546
2025-11-30 0.000295 0.000417 0.000568 0.000768 0.001020 0.001325 0.001717
2025-12-07 0.000258 0.000384 0.000547 0.000768 0.001056 0.001413 0.001884
2025-12-14 0.000225 0.000352 0.000521 0.000760 0.001078 0.001483 0.002026
2025-12-21 0.000196 0.000322 0.000496 0.000747 0.001093 0.001540 0.002153
2025-12-28 0.000182 0.000312 0.000496 0.000769 0.001152 0.001657 0.002359
2026-01-04 0.000168 0.000299 0.000491 0.000782 0.001198 0.001757 0.002545
2026-01-11 0.000150 0.000278 0.000473 0.000775 0.001216 0.001817 0.002678
2026-01-18 0.000133 0.000258 0.000454 0.000764 0.001226 0.001867 0.002798
2026-01-25 0.000122 0.000247 0.000446 0.000770 0.001261 0.001950 0.002965
2026-02-01 0.000111 0.000234 0.000436 0.000772 0.001288 0.002025 0.003123
2026-02-08 0.000096 0.000212 0.000409 0.000745 0.001273 0.002038 0.003193
2026-02-15 0.000084 0.000194 0.000387 0.000724 0.001264 0.002060 0.003275
2026-02-22 0.000076 0.000183 0.000376 0.000721 0.001282 0.002120 0.003414
2026-03-01 0.000069 0.000174 0.000368 0.000721 0.001305 0.002187 0.003565
2026-03-08 0.000062 0.000163 0.000356 0.000713 0.001314 0.002234 0.003686
2026-03-15 0.000055 0.000152 0.000342 0.000701 0.001317 0.002271 0.003791
2026-03-22 0.000053 0.000150 0.000346 0.000722 0.001373 0.002390 0.004023
2026-03-29 0.000050 0.000147 0.000346 0.000734 0.001415 0.002489 0.004226
2026-04-05 0.000045 0.000138 0.000335 0.000728 0.001425 0.002538 0.004353
2026-04-12 0.000040 0.000130 0.000323 0.000717 0.001428 0.002574 0.004462